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READER INITIATED ALERTS

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1,738 thoughts on “READER INITIATED ALERTS”

  1. I paid 21.79 (21.65 stripped) for EBNNF 4.96 FTF 9/1/2027 5YR +4.04 6.75 CY 11.76 CTC assuming 25 terminal value …EBBNF/SJNK pair has seen ebbnf outperform since 5/2023 and is currently trading near 2 sigma cheap

  2. Steel Partners Announces Voluntary NYSE Delisting and SEC Deregistration

    NEW YORK–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Apr. 11, 2025– Steel Partners Holdings L.P. (NYSE: SPLP), a diversified global holding company (“SPLP” or the “Company”) announced today that it has given formal notice to the New York Stock Exchange (“NYSE”) of its intention to voluntarily delist its (a) Common units, no par value (the “Common Units”) and (b) 6.0% Series A Preferred Units (the “Series A Units” and together with the Common Units the “Units”) from the NYSE and to deregister under Section 12(b) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”). Following the de-listing from the NYSE, SPLP expects to quote the Common Units and Series A Units on the OTCQX platform (the “OTCQX”). SPLP plans on filing a Form 25 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) on or about April 21, 2025. The last day of trading in SPLP’s Common Units on the NYSE will be on or about May 1, 2025. When SPLP files a Form 15 on or about May 1, 2025, its filing obligations under the Exchange Act will immediately be suspended or terminated, including the filing of all reports on Forms 8-K, 10-Q and 10-K. On July 30, 2025 the deregistration of the Units is expected to become effective.

    Full press release can be found here…

    https://ir.steelpartners.com/news-releases/news-release-details/steel-partners-announces-voluntary-nyse-delisting-and-sec

    Sold my positions this morning….

    1. Any thoughts on how this delisting might effect their willingness/probability to redeem on 2/7/26 at 25?

    2. Why not just hold the preferred until it matures? That is only like 11 months away. Aren’t they just trying to save a few bucks? Going to the OTC “OTCQX” most likely means it is still tradeable I would imagine.

      If you trusted them enough to pay the preferred I don’t quite understand why you don’t trust them enough to redeem it in 11 months.

      1. But – they don’t have to redeem in cash – they can give you (now delisted) SPLP shares.

        1. Well that is not optimal and probably explains why I was never interested in it. I did not know that. Thanks.

        2. Yes, they can redeem SPLP-A with common units which will still be tradeable on OTC instead of NYSE – is this your understanding?

          1. It should be tradeable,

            Mandatory Redemption

            If not earlier redeemed, on the date that is the ninth (9th) anniversary of the original issuance date of the SPLP preferred units, SPLP shall redeem all of the SPLP preferred units at a redemption price equal to $25.00 per SPLP preferred unit plus an amount equal to accumulated and unpaid distributions, if any, on such SPLP preferred unit to, but excluding, the redemption date, in cash or in common units or a combination thereof, at the sole discretion of the SPLP GP Board.

      2. fc didn’t they have the option to call and pay in common shares? I don’t really recall because I wasn’t interested.
        I bought some SCE-PM at 22.75 yesterday in the ROTH we are leaving for the grand kids. Trust preferred and cumulative so even if they get suspended over the fires from Jan. they should eventually get paid. Almost 8.25% return.

    3. FYI if you hold or held your shares in a taxable E*TRADE account, check your K-1’s very carefully. When E*Trade accounts moved over due to Morgan Stanley transaction Steel Partners Preferreds came over as a transfer in but the transfer outs were not all accounted for correctly. This should have been a non-event but it wasn’t so there is a good chance your K-1s reflect income allocation for 2x what you held and your ending k-1 share balance may be overstated by shares transferred as well

  3. yesterday I liquidated ESGRO at 19.91 as the esgro/vclt pair was near top of recent .. good article on S/A recommending sale titled Enstar: no cracks showing yet in Sixth Street Take out

  4. Just for the sake of discussion (and please don’t shoot the messenger), consider the 14% YTM (annualized, 8.1% absolute) at 24.35 of senior BB SCCC maturing Sep 15. DYODD

    1. RE– SCCC, SACH common now under a dollar. History of neg articles-got rid of mine months ago. FWIW-Saratoga has some notes that might be safer.

    2. Do you think Sachem will be able to redeem the issue in September? I’m very leary with the common around $1.

      1. David, Would you loan a guy money to let him pay off his debt to someone else and now he owes you? Where are they getting the money to redeem these? Same situation RILY is in. They had to sell assets. What assets does Sachem have.? That is the questions I would be asking.

      2. Sachem still pays a dividend on its common shares, albeit a smaller one. Suspending the common divvy would be a sign of distress more so than a lower share price (imo), although suspending the dividend would increase the likelihood that SCCC gets redeemed in September.

        1. Of course they have the optics play- reverse split of 5 to 20- might fool some new buyers that miss it.

  5. mgr down 3 percent is now yielding 7.2 percent
    might have to take the plunge though the market it selling off again

      1. MJ, is the trend your friend? from all the comments on Tim’s site I gather a lot of people who held stocks or bought Friday thru Tues. expected the market to recover and sold on the news Trump was holding tariffs at 10% for 90 days. But as Tim posted nothing has changed. I agree with him its going to be a bumpy ride up and down the next couple months. Great for traders.
        Looking at the chart for MRG you see a steady 6 month decline with bumps up and down, but overall down. I don’t expect this to change.
        Maybe good for a nibble now, but I am just speculating we will see a chance at that early April low again and maybe even lower.

  6. KTBA off ~ 10%
    Not sure why- 400 shares- guess somebdy had a better use for the $
    5400 total traded

    1. Gary, I’m not sure if you see the spread , but it’s 20 bid, 24 ask. Nothing to see here. I’m 20 bid and everytime a trade goes off there is a hidden order at 20.01. “hidden” is an order attribute Fidelity and Schwab don’t have available.

  7. Couple of questions.

    1) What happens to a public company’s preferred stock when it’s purchased by a private company. Can the private company stop paying the preferred dividend? (Example Aspen Insurance by Apollo, Athene by Apollo, Oaktree by Brookfield). Or is the acquiring company obligated to pay the preferred dividend before it can pay a common stock dividend?

    2) CFB.PRB is missing? from the spreadsheet.

    1. It’s a gray area some of the clauses are poorly written and open to interpretation., and it depedns on whether some sleazy lawyer thinks the case is worth prosecuting. Most acquisitions by reputable companies have honored the preferreds but there have been several cases of sleazy companies suspending the preferreds just because they didn’t want them and found a loophole to screw you over. Brookfielkd is an example of a successful company who has done so.
      I’m leery of any preferred in negotiation for sale or acquistion. May be ok but once bitten twice shy.

      1. let me clarify some of what Martin said.
        The preferred stock prospectus governs. If it has clauses in there that protect the preferred stock holders, there is very little chance that the acquirer will suspend the dividends.
        If it doesn’t, some acquirers will try and suspend the dividend and/or file bankruptcy on the now subsidiary company.
        But it isn’t a decision by a “sleazy” lawyer. it is what is in the prospectus and what the CEO wants to do after the lawyer tells them what will happen if they suspend.

        And with preferreds, some of the investors who hold them are big enough where filing suit against the company is warranted, in order to stop them from looting the company.
        Long story short, I’ll be Brookfield’s lawyers look at the prospectus documents as part of their acquisition strategy and don’t even attempt to buy companies that have strong protections for their preferred stockholders, because they know they will lose if they try and kill off the subsidiary, and could have real problems in front of a bankruptcy judge who finds a fiduciary breach. (which means those preferred stockholders get paid in full, and the parent is on the hook for it, and can’t escape the liability with a corporate structure)

        1. Good explanation about the law. My comment was more about what preferred stockholders need to be vigilant about. Defaults happen too frequently in these circumstances so I now avid them. I’m not a law student and I trade too many things to do a deep dive on all of them. Avoiding an occasional major loss keeps this a very profitable sector for me overall.

        2. In the Brookfield cae the preferreds were a separate legal entity but the money was comingled with the common, that’s the main reason the funds disappeared, Raided mostly by the previous owner ALIN who was losing money before the sale.. I stand by my opinion that declaring it a separate entity is often a legal loophole to avoid the usual restrictions on defaults. Banks do it all the time but for different reasons and i’m not aware of any partial bank defaults like that.

          1. Martin, brings to mind even the best companies like 3M will create a separate company to dump the doo doo in to avoid a possible loss.

            1. That happens too but it’s different. Preferred stock might not be doodoo when first sold. In those cases it becomes the designated doooo when the common starts failing. Then raiding it makes the remaining pieces sellable and it’s all legal because it was declared a separate entity even though the funds are comingled.

  8. Bought ANG-B (6.625% non-cum, perp preferred) at 24.85, YTC 10% for Sep 1 reset to 5yy+6.297%.

  9. As of April 1 perp MBNKP is floating at 3mL+6.46% or about 11% for the June ex-date. Trading below par. Not a reco.

  10. Hump Day Data ~

    * WTI ~ $57.3
    * VIX ~ 51
    * 5YR T ~ 4.05%
    * 10YR T ~ 4.45%
    * 20YR T ~ 4.93%
    * 30YR T ~ 4.89%
    * 2/10 Spread ~ 67
    * USD ~ 102.33
    * CME ~ 60% chance no rate cut
    * 30yr Fixed Mortgage ~ back to 7%
    * China ~ readies 84% retaliatory tariffs on US
    * EU ~ readies 25% retaliatory tariffs on US

  11. 0015 eastern:
    10 yr getting rattled, now 4.51%
    30 yr just touched 5.0%

    75 basis point spread between 2 and 10

    1. pig
      Beautiful summary of the reasons behind the 1:30 tariff postponement announcement:

      Apr 09, 2025 01:02 PM
      • Liquidity conditions are deteriorating, with S&P 500 futures showing wide bid/ask spreads and reduced contract sizes, leading to increased market volatility.
      • The Secured Overnight Financing Rate, or SOFR, has risen to 4.4%, trading 15 bps above the Fed’s reverse repurchase agreement rate, indicating tighter collateral conditions.
      • Treasury rates have surged, and the dollar is plunging, suggesting capital flight and potential liquidity constraints, possibly due to foreign investors exiting US markets.
      • Rising rates, a falling dollar, and tighter liquidity are critical warning signs for the stock market, signaling potential risks ahead.

      1. Explains a lot about the announcement. Thanks for posting Westie-18.
        Your previous posts have brought clarity many times before. Please keep up the good work.

        1. Thanks, Dave
          On a roll…..
          Watch out today, Thursday
          Just as Wed was a short covering, VIX panic day
          Thurs will be a reality day.
          China still in full economic war.
          Nothing really changed except a temporary timeout because of a short crunch. Treasuries staying close to previous highs.

          I’m expecting a substantial correction to yesterday’s euphoria.
          Bought some more SH late yesterday.

          1. “If market moves bother you, you don’t have the right allocation.”

            Honesty scorecard…. 4pm April 9
            70% Bonds -.02%
            7% Prefs +1.6%
            7% Sock Drawer Commons +4.9%
            6% Hedge -3.7%
            Net Portfolio chg +.66%
            YTD Unrealized Gain/Loss -.5%

          2. yes! I bought some QQQ puts at the close yesterday as a hedge just because conventional wisdom says that the 12% rise there could retrace by about half today…we’ll see. Still a lot of cash to deploy here if it does.

  12. fwiw,,,liquidated NEWTG at 24.50 (24.38 stripped) as the NEWTG/SJNK pair has gone from 2 sigma cheap on 3/11 to about 3 sigma rich (1year horizon) and near yearly high

    1. mjt-
      Wasn’t it about a dollar richer at the end of Feb? Not sure why it was ‘cheap’ 3/11.
      Guess I don’t get the system.

      1. Hard not to like NEWTG paying 8.69% at today’s price and buyers historically have payed over $25 so there is some room for capital gain.

        1. Is everyone seeing what I am seeing????
          9:04pm 20Treas 4.9% Up 50bps since Friday
          Has to be a liquidity squeeze coming from foreign investor actions.
          Probably China’s response to DJT’s 104% tariffs
          Hang on for upcoming Treasury auctions

          1. I don’t think treasuries are quite the safe haven they were. Can you guarantee they will get paid?

            1. The Mar-A-Lago Accord, written by the current head of the Council of Economic Advisers, includes a proposal is to fix the US debt problem by forcing a replacement of Treasuries with 100 year long-term interest-only debt, i.e., “we’re not paying your principal back.”

              When Lumen did a restructuring with extension, it earned a Selective Default rating from S&P. (“We view this (as)… tantamount to a default given that lenders did not receive adequate compensation to offset the maturity extensions. Therefore, we lowered our issuer credit rating on Lumen to ‘SD’ (selective default) from ‘CC’. “)

              If I were a foreign government or central bank, I would prefer to hold gold over promises. JMO. DYODD.

          2. Westie, The government might have the power to tax but it’s going to be hard to collect from me if I’m broke. Little hint on how much I trust them, I don’t hold any treasuries except an ultra short Treasury money market fund. If they did a 3yr at 5% I might nibble.

            1. Charles
              Don’t follow your logic on Treasuries.
              Long or short – at maturity they can just print up a bunch of paper to repay you.
              No problem. Safe as a church.

        2. NEWTH looks even better? Higher coupon, closer to x-date.
          And NEWTZ looks like a short term ~8% YTM (as best I can figure w Fido calculator and trying to figure out accrued interest…need2WR to help here).

  13. I just bot CNOBP 5.25 FTF 9/01/2026 5yr +4.04.. at 21.55(21.44 stripped) for about a 16% ytc assuming 24.80 terminal value.
    also bot
    WAL-A at 21.08 ftf 9/30/2026 5yr +3.45 using terminal price of 24.6 ytc 15.32
    thank you to the contributor who showed us these ftf

  14. 1 pm
    20T interest up 20 bps
    Value of bond down 2.6%
    Both totally unprecedented in one day.
    I’ll bet China is responding to Trumps threat by dumping bonds in direct retaliation.
    A strong possibility of a “doom loop” where other holders dump their holdings before the price drops further.

    Economic war

      1. So Westie too much available in the market because you think holders are dumping and not enough buyers so the price keeps going lower and the yield on cost is going up?

        1. My guess is a short term selling overload
          Would not expect stock volatility to cause selling of 20 year bonds.
          Could only guess foreign dumping, either deliberate message or rotation away frm US long term debt

          1. — John Authers of Bloomberg Opinion speculates that somebody, somewhere may be in trouble, although he says he hasn’t heard any rumors. (As he colorfully puts it: “That dog hasn’t barked yet.” ) He points out that during previous market crashes, over-leveraged hedge funds that got into trouble had to sell good quality liquid assets to meet margin calls.

            — There are stories about about PE types holding illiquid assets that have become unsalable. And stories about big banks being hung with commitments to finance big deals but no way to lay off the debt on now-nervous investors. JMO. DYODD.

            Banks Postpone Loans as Tariffs Stoke Fears of ‘Hung’ Debt
            https://finance.yahoo.com/news/banks-postpone-loans-tariffs-stoke-161704446.html

            1. Yup Bear, I said pretty much the same thing. We will see how construction goes moving forward. Don’t forget, to look what is happening at companies in the business. WY for example. I remember right after the GFC when it suspended it’s dividend and not long after converted to a Reit.
              I’m smiling as I think about the PE fund buying BECN. The shareholders of BECN will be voting for their $124.00 a share offer. If they don’t, then look out below.

            2. Bear-
              The same old story every market upheaval. Buffett watching to see who’s naked when the tide goes out.

              1. rocks, I wonder how it’s going for banks trying to unload their loans they did to Musk for when he bought Twitter.

                1. The Twitter/X debt was sold in tranches prior to the March 28 Xai acquisition, at near or par value. Most of it was sold in February 2025 with strong demand from private equity. Banks may still be holding ~$1.3B of the original debt, but not for the lack of willing buyers.

    1. Correct. China also has a HUGE sovereign wealth fund, and I am sure they are dumping it in retaliation.

  15. 2 Kids Fighting Again This Morning…

    * Trump, 34% tariffs to you Xi…
    * Xi, 34% tariffs back at you Trump…
    * Trump, I’m going to add 50% additional tariffs to you soon if you don’t remove your 34% tariff on us this week Xi…
    * Xi, I’ll put 50% additional tariffs back on you if you do that Trump…
    🙂

    1. Newbie, Maybe we should move this over to the litter box.
      How about this.
      Trump, Xi you’re going to sell Tik Tok, preferably to a company one of my friends owns.
      Xi- it’s not for sale
      Trump- I will extend the time so you can think about it.
      Xi- How about we start with Tesla and no more foreign owned car companies in China, Tesla has to sell its factories to a Chinese company, preferably one my friends own.

  16. VIX hit 60. I bought SVOL. Wheeee!

    Bought a little SPNT-B at 24.80. CY 8.06%, YTC 9.9%. Likely to be called Feb 2026 at first reset to 5yy+7.298%.

    I couldn’t sleep at 12:30am last night so I looked at stock index futures charts. My conclusion: one more big move lower to a certain level and a countertrend rally will start. That’s what happened. In this scenario there will be another decline to the final low. Not a prediction.

    The surprise is t-bond futures reversing sharply lower (yields rising). Stocks and bonds have been trading opposite, so maybe not a surprise.

    1. I just noticed that my targets for the index futures countertrends were hit. On the same day as the low. This is crazy! For ES that was a 9.4% rally, for NQ 11.6%.

  17. I would like to remind everyone that there are two factors that impact the market value of our preferreds:
    Interest Rates and Risk Spread
    Take a look at the attached Fed chart and ask yourself where you think the Risk Spread will end up.
    July 2022? April 2020?
    How risky do you feel today’s environment is vs those dates?

    It has risen 100 bps in the last week.

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/BAMLH0A0HYM2

    1. Shifting default risk is perhaps the biggest factor for the higher yielders. And the hardest to estimate.

    2. Westie July of 2022 didn’t bother me. COVID was unique and a bit of a shock. Similar to what is happening now.

  18. As I write this, futures are in free-fall. If they open this far down (4-6%) or more in the morning, I’ll be buying. Regardless of what actually happens with tariffs, we are now getting into silly time in the markets. JMHO.

  19. Post-Tariff Market Drop Yielders…

    PFFA ~ 10.06%
    DOW ~ 9.93%
    PAA ~ 8.77%
    PFFR ~ 8.17%
    PFXF ~ 8.08%
    AMLP ~ 8.08%
    ET ~ 8.04%
    MPLX ~ 7.78%
    BTI ~ 7.5%
    RIO ~ 7.35%
    MO ~ 7.28%
    OHI ~ 7.18%
    EPD ~ 6.94%
    CBLDX ~ 6.87%
    PSK ~ 6.82%
    PFF ~ 6.81%
    PFFD ~ 6.77%
    BP ~ 6.61%
    PGF ~ 6.43%
    VZ ~ 6.3%
    PGX ~ 6.19%
    ENB ~ 6.17%
    JAAA ~ 6.16%
    SCFOX ~ 6.14%
    WPC ~ 6.02%

    dyodd

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