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Website Down

As you might have noticed there is nothing posting to the home page of the website. Since Tuesday afternoon I am able to post items and folks that are on the various feeds get the notification of publication and can find the article page–but this represents just a minor portion of the site traffic.

I have the tech folks working on the issue and hopefully they are able to get it repaired today.

My apologies for the site issues -in 17 years we have had only a couple issues with more than a few hours offline–hopefully we will note see these glitches often.

Monday Morning Kickoff

Well we will almost undoubtibly have a wild week ahead in stock and bond markets–whether it is up OR down is the question–or maybe it will be both.

Last week the S&P500 ended the week with just under a 1% gain for the week after a wild ride with the week opening down 1% after being as low as down about 2%–a wild ride, but all things considered not a horrific week.

The 10 year treasury traded in a fairly wide range of 1.86% to 2.01% trading down to 1.86% on Thursday before blasting higher to 2.01% (closing at 1.98%) on Friday as equity markets shot higher and inflation numbers continued hot. Investors are now convinced the Fed will move forward with base rate increases in March after they momentarily started to believe that the Ukraine situation would put a ‘hold’ on increases.

The Fed balance sheet grew by $17 billion last week as it pushes ever closer to a cool $9 trillion.

Last week $25/share preferreds and baby bonds ended the week relatively flat–although through the course of the week shares moved around quite a bit.

The average share moved lower by 4 cents. Investment grades issues moved lower by 2 cents, bank preferreds were off 1 penny, mREIT issues fell by 8 cents–very close to a flat week.

Last week we had 1 new income issue as Priority Income Fund finally priced their new term preferred.

The issue priced with a coupon of 6.375% and is trading under OTC ticker PRIFP and closed on Friday at $24.59.

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BDC PhenixFin to Sell New Baby Bonds

PhenixFin Corp (PFX), a business development company, has announced they will be selling a new issue of baby bonds.

PFX is the old Medley Capital.

The company will be selling notes with a maturity date in 2028 and an optional redemption date in November, 2023.

The company intends to redeem all or part of the outstanding 6.125% baby bonds (PFXNL).

The preliminary prospectus can be found here.

2whiteroses was on top of this one early today.

Sachem Capital Reopening Baby Bond Issue

Hard money lender, and REIT, Sachem Capital (SACH) has announced they are ‘re-opening” the currently outstanding 7.75% baby bond issue (SCCC).

No offering price, no number of shares to be sold has been announced although I expect the offering price to be $24.75 to $25/share.

This issue was originally sold on 8/26/2020. This issue was small–just 520,000 plus over allotment. The issue was reopened 10/20/2020 and another 520,000 shares were sold. The issue had been trading at $25.07/share today–the issue had just gone ex-dividend for about 48 cents a few days ago.

NOTE–this offering was announced late in the day and no negative reaction was logged this trading day in the pricing of the outstanding shares–but normally we will see a setback in prices with more shares being sold. aview made note of the offering on the Reader Initiated Alerts page today at 3:25pm.

The offering prospectus can be found here.

Comment Removal Last Week

This week I removed a comment from the comment stream. The way this works is if I ‘unapprove’ a comment it removes the comment and all of the responses to that initial comment. So if you notice some comment you made ‘missing’ it may have been in the comment stream.

The initial comment had an personal ‘attack’ (in my mind) and was really uncalled for–if someone makes a factual error it is ok to correct the error–but not berate the individual.

I don’t ban folks for going ‘off the rails’ a time or two–I am NOT overly strict. There remains only 1 person ‘banned’ from a couple years ago–he/she was persistently attacking folks and refused to stop.

Ashford Hospitality in Death Spiral

I am sure many noticed that the preferred shares of lodge REIT Ashford Hospitality (AHT) took a real hammering on Friday. 4 issues closed in the $4.xx area with 1 issue closing at $5.39.

Of course the shares had been trading down in the $5-$6/share area on Thursday before heavy selling came in on Friday—obviously investors are bailing out when they can get a few bucks–because there is a very real chance the company will be walking away from ALL of their hotels in the next 60 days.

This is a lodging REIT which has over $4 billion in debt and they are making NO debt payments at all right now. Most of the debt is ‘non-recourse’ meaning they can walk away from the debt and turn the keys back to the lender.

AHT recently did a 1 for 10 reverse stock split on 7/15/2020. Common shares closed at $5.74 the day of the reverse split and now are trading at $3.92—as usual with a reverse split shares continue lower after the split.

In a last ditch attempt to survive the company proposed an exchange offer for all of their preferred shares outstanding–more than 20 million shares in total. A TINY amount of the offer is to buy shares for cash ($9.75/share)–a total of $30 million, while the balance of the offer is for 2.64 shares of common in exchange for each preferred share–more than 59 million new common shares. The company would go from 10 million shares outstanding to around 70 millions shares.

With the common at $3.92 now–fully diluted maybe it is worth 50 cents–making the exchange offer worth around $1.25 per preferred share. Those preferred holders which do not exchange shares will be automatically converted to 1.02 common shares.

Strange things happen but without a federal bailout AHT is dead!!