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No Use Panicking–A Deep Breath

Yesterday markets were hammered–BUT it is one day and likely a over-reaction to the FOMC stating they may only cut interest rates 2 times next year. Markets take this as gospel–kind of silly–these words from folks who messed up interest rates for literally years by keeping rates at zero–to think they have a real clue as to what happens next year is only a dream. Maybe they cut 6 times–maybe they don’t cut at all–in a year we will know for sure.

Hopefully folks didn’t panic and start selling yesterday–I know for sure that the seasoned folks reading this didn’t sell–some of the occasional investors that are not seasoned may have panicked and tossed the baby out with the bath water. No doubt there was some pain yesterday, but 1 day doesn’t make a market. Is this the start of something bigger? No one knows–NO ONE. I will play the cards I am dealt and figure out how to address it each day.

As I had mentioned earlier in the week I was frustrated in my attempts to buy the new RiverNorth/DoubleLine 6% term preferred (OPP-C). On Tuesday I did go ahead and establish a small position – small because I want shares a few pennies cheaper–and I will eventually add many more shares. I paid $10.08 (this is a $10 issue) for this small starter position and will update my ‘laundry list’ page sometime today. I also have entered a good til canceled order at $10.02 to try to snag some additional shares.

At this minute (7 am central) we are seeing a bounce in equities – not recouping yesterdays losses by any means, but stability–this should have been expected. Where indexes end the day is anyone’s guess. Will ‘nervous nellies’ take the opportunity to sell into the rally?

Interest rates (the 10 year Treasury) which shot higher yesterday to close at 4.49% yesterday is now trading at 4.52%–this will be interesting to watch. I think any progress made on cutting the future government debt will be met very favorably–continued giant overspending will continue to send rates higher.

Yesterday there was frustration on my part as the website experienced various issues relating to caching. It took a few hours throughout the day to get it rectified. Part of the issue is related to the size of the website—1000’s and 1000’s of pages and it took a new cache add on to rectify the situation. This is another example of how donations from generous folks help to carry the load of the website cost–one can burn through a few hundred dollars real quick when there are issues. We are always extremely thankful for those that donate.

Well let’s get our day going and see where markets take us today.

Headlines of Interest to Those Holding Preferred Stock and Baby Bonds

Below are press releases from companys with preferred stock and/or baby bonds outstanding–or just news of general interest.  Earnings season is pretty much over so we will have slow news days for a month or two.


Diana Shipping Inc. Announces Time Charter Contract for m/v Santa Barbara With Mitsui O.S.K. Lines

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Saratoga Investment Corp. to Report Fiscal Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Hold Conference Call

View Press Release

Wells Fargo Bank Decreases Prime Rate to 7.50 Percent

View Press Release

TWO Announces Fourth Quarter 2024 Common and Preferred Stock Dividends

View Press Release

Ellington Financial Inc. Completes Proprietary Reverse Mortgage Loan Securitization

View Press Release

The Hartford Declares Quarterly Dividend Of $375 Per Share Of Series G Preferred Stock

Now That Was a Common Share Setback

Well we all knew what the Fed was going to do and honestly about what Jay Powell would say–but I don’t think that most of us knew that the fast money was going to use it as an excuse to sell the hell out of the markets. Normally on Fed day we get big pops both directions for a few minutes after the announcement and then a moderate move in one direct or the other. Today–NO. The trip down was long and steep with hardly a 5 minute respite all afternoon. About a 3% loss on the day. Adding a little insult to injury the 10 year treasury yield closed at 4.49%–up 11 basis points on the day–the highest close since May.

Of course in the income issues it is the low coupon, high quality perpetuals that took the biggest knock. Looking through the investment grade issues I would guess maybe 90-95% RED–some just a few cents, but a lot of them down 1-3%.

Personally I took some losses in all investment accounts–although they were minor–maybe 1/5% owing to having cut back on many issues a few months ago–but just the same no one likes losses. We all know that trying to react on a day like today is a mistake–just sit back and take a deep breath, sleep on it and make rational decision later. I am thinking maybe I have a couple issues to trim back a bit–in particular the 2 Brighthouse Financial issues I hold–on the other hand with investment grade issues with current yields over 7% maybe I will just ‘ride it out’–we’ll see.

Waiting For What We All Know is Coming

Markets–and in particular interest rates are quiet–the 10 year treasury yield is less than 1/2 basis point from the close yesterday.

I am pretty certain that we all know there is a 1/4% rate coming and then the Jay Powell presser will stress that GDP is decent and employment is strong and there may be a need to ‘pause’ further rate cuts. This would give the markets almost exactly what they are looking for right now. The CME Fed Watch tool is at 98% for a 1/4 point cut today, but only at 19% for January for a cut. Unless we see something drastic happen in the economy the FOMC will not cut in January with numbers like that. The Atlanta Fed GDPNow has 4th quarter GDP at 3.2% as of today–not exactly a soft growth picture. Let’s get this noise behind us so we can invest.

Did You Know? General American Investors

I have held shares in the 5.95% General American Investors (GAM-B) for a long time–I think it has been years–certainly off and on for years.

GAM is a solid closed end fund with $1.6 billion in assets and the only leverage they use is this issue of preferred shares—they have a asset coverage ratio of 837% as of 6/30/2024.

The interesting item of note is that the Board of Directors has a buyback in place for the preferred shares anytime they are under $25/share. They have authorized up to 2 million shares being bought (original issue was 8 million shares)–thus far to date they have bought just shy of 400,000 leaving lots of dry powder for further purchases.

Does this buyback authorization help to keep this high quality modest coupon price above $25? Not positive of the answer, but I do know that it doesn’t hurt.