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Shenanigans in the Commercial Mortgage Patch?

You know it is happening–I know it is happening–the question is to what level phony mortgages are being written in the commercial mortgage market?

We all have our own thoughts and opinions on subjects like this, but to truly get to the bottom of it you would need to work 24 hours a days for months on just this one topic. Since none of us have this type of time we depend on others to do the legwork.

Here is an article–I can’t vouch for how accurate it is, but typically where there is smoke there is fire–is it a backyard bonfire, or a ranging wild fire?

Check out this article if you haven’t seen it already.

Purchased Some South Jersey Industries Baby Bonds

Yesterday I made a purchase of a 1/2 position in the South Jersey Industries 5.625% Junior Subordinated notes (SJIJ).

While the issue is a notch under investment grade it appears that the risk/reward was about right for the price I paid–$24.80–a current yield of around 5.70%. These shares had traded solidly in the $26.50 area prior to the pandemic.

As I have mentioned I am pretty loaded up with utility issues–mainly electric utility baby bonds and with closed end funds (CEF) preferreds–most bought at bargain prices last month so have been mostly lying in the weeds in the last couple of weeks around 70% and watching for reasonable buys.

I am quite convinced we will see lower prices in many preferreds and baby bonds–but when? In the meantime I really want to get back on the dividend train so will get some decent quality issues here and there to get the dividends and interest rolling.

South Jersey Industries is the natural gas supplier for a portion of New Jersey and recently reported solid earnings for Q1 ending 3/31/2020. More importantly they affirmed their forecast for the balance of the year–very solid numbers (of course who can totally forecast in this environment).

The shares go ex dividend on 5/29/2020.

Truist Financial to Offer New Preferred

Truist Financial (TFC), which is the new name of the company composed of BB&T and SunTrust Bank which previously merged, is offering a new preferred issue.

The issue will be non-cumulative and investment grade and will have the relatively typical terms.

The company has a number of other issues outstanding which can be seen here.

The preliminary prospectus can be read here.

Thanks to mcg and EarlyBird for ferreting this out earlier today.

Brighthouse Financial Prices New Preferred

Insurance company Brighthouse Financial (BHF) has priced their new issue of non-cumulative preferred stock.

The issue is split investment grade (investment grade per S&P, but not per Fitch or Moody’s).

The issue will trade today on the OTC grey market under temporary ticker BHFBL.

The pricing term sheet can be found here.

Hard Not To Like These Gains

Looking over accounts today it is difficult to not like the nice gains I have today—I don’t necessarily understand the market movement from a common sense perspective, but just the same I will take the gains.

In spite of the gains there are still plenty of baby bonds and preferred stocks falling today–some of them kind of hard–with fixed-to-floating rate issues acting a bit dicey.

One loser today is the Customers Bancorp Fixed to Floating rate 7% preferred (CUBI-C). This issue is off more than 3% to $22.33. Prior to the pandemic this issue was trading up near $26–way too high. The issue enters the ‘floating’ period on 6/15/2020—less than a month away. The issue will float at 3 month Libor (now .42%) plus a spread of 5.30% so today that would equate to 5.72%—1.28% below the current coupon–something has to give and in this case it is the price.

It is pretty likely that we are going to see quite a few of the fixed-to-floating rate issues remain outstanding in the future—unless we get some really spiking interest rates coupons will be heading lower.

BE CAREFUL–pricing on fixed to floating rate issues will react negatively to a lower reset in the coupon 2-4 quarters prior to the new reset occurring.

We would suggest double checking any fixed to floating rate preferreds you are holding. Our fixed-to-floating rate page shows the 1st call dates (which is also when rates begin to float) as well of the ‘potential coupon’. A large share of these issue would reset from 1-2% lower in coupon if they reset today.

Many of these fixed-to-floating rate issues have some time before they go to quarterly resets so everyone should make sure where their issue stands at least 1 year prior to the first coupon reset and then apply your best prediction to where interest rates might be at reset time so you can exit if necessary.