Just taking a quick review today and walking through each holding and some of my logic (or maybe illogical) thoughts on the holding.
Honestly I need a more structured look at each of my holdings–coupled with what I hope is logic to figure out where I am and where I am going.
‘Asset Managers’ is the 1st category on my ‘list‘. This is a small category with around 5% of the total holdings.
The offerings of income issues are relatively sparse in this category, but I have always been drawn to the Affiliated Managers issues–mostly to the 5.875% (MGR) baby bond since it has the earliest 1st call date and my thought was that at the point of lower interest rates it might get called and I would get a decent capital gains. My logic kind of worked well and in 10/23 I added shares @ $20.59. Interest rates started falling in 2024 and in October, 2024 I unloaded 1/2 my shares for $24.92. With the benefit of hindsight I should have sold it all. When I sold it I thought it was peaking and was fearful of the long dated maturity in 2059 and the thought was that interest rates might start moving higher again and send my shares tumbling. Obviously the price did tumble and now trades at $22.25. Certainly there is upside potential for a capital gain–BUT it will take much lower interest rates to move the price higher. We’ll see what happens, but I am maintaining my 1/2 position for now.
I had held shares in giant asset manager Apollo Asset Management 6.375% preferred (AAM-A) which was bought in 2022. This was originally an Athene (insurance company) issue which Apollo acquired. This issue was called for redemption in 9/2023 which gave me a total gain of about 18% in a little over a year.
Lastly, in this category, I have shares in the 4.875% baby bonds of Hennessy Advisors (HNNAZ) which have a maturity date in 12/2026–so still 20 months out. I have held some of these shares (bonds) since they were first issued in 2021. Even though the maturity date on this issue is relatively near the share price has moved up and down more than I imagined it would ever do. In August 2023 pricing moved lower by 10% and I added to holdings 3 more times down in the $22.25 to $22.55 area. Over the course of the next 6 months the price moved higher until I sold the vast majority of shares at $24.37 capturing a nice capital gain plus interest along the way. With a 4.875% coupon it was unlikely to move much, if any, higher with 2.5 years left to maturity. The price did fall back in April, 2024 so I added back some shares @ 23.35 which was near an 8% yield to maturity. Now it is trading at $24.22. I could sell for a nice gain–BUT there is no reason to believe that the price will fall significantly from here with less than 2 years to maturity. Yield to maturity at this time is in the 6.8-6.9% area–so I would be open to buying more of this issue. Certainly the YTM is better than a CD by bunches–yes I am going to see if I can snag a bit at a little lower than the current price. It is thinly traded as almost all issues are–and the spreads are typically wider than I would like to see so I may never execute a buy–we’ll see.
A note on Hennessy Advisors–this is a small company with total assets under management of $4.8 billion which generates revenue of around $9.7/quarter. (not very big). The company has been buying other funds and rolling them into the Hennessy Funds. These incremental assets have been extremely profitable and recent earnings were very strong. Their latest earnings are here.