Today giant Ag Cooperative confirmed that the ag economy is extremely soft and that the threat of tariffs is bringing more uncertainty to their business. More than once in the last month or two I stated that we would likely see this market softness hit CHS earnings in the next couple of quarters. Of course we know that CHS is as much a oil refiner as they are a grain merchant–so earnings can still remains respectable.
An article in the local newspaper today outlines some of their challenges. This article is timely as I am going to start to add some more shares of the CHS preferreds to the portfolio. I currently own two issues (the CHSCM 6.75% issue and the CHSCN 7.10% issue) and will continue to add more shares at favorable prices starting tomorrow. If I am to own more perpetuals at this moment–these are pretty much the most stable issues that can be found. That earnings will likely be down in the next few quarters is only a minor consideration as it has been shown time and again that CHS can go these cycles and while they can be a bit painful the coop will survive just fine.
Tomorrow I will add some of the CHSCM 6.75% to current holdings around $25.17/share. Recall that this issue was originally a reset issue, which has now been fixed at 6.75% because of the change from libor to sofr. If share prices fall I will consider further purchases. The CHSCN 7.10% issues currently trades at $25.55 which is not a price which I am willing to pay at this time–but 25 cents lower it becomes a consideration.