Here we go again—it could be a relatively quiet week, although we do have FOMC minutes being released on Wednesday and this can always set off fireworks-one never knows.
The S&P500 moved higher last week by 3/4% and now just a tiny amount below a record level. This week is starting off looking some higher, but the future market gains can evaporate quickly.
The 10 year Treasury closed last week at 4.47% (down 2 basis points from the previous Friday). At this moment (5:30 central) the 10 year is at 4.52%–up 5 basis points. As noted the economic news is somewhat light this week, but we don’t know what kind of curve balls that the new administration will throw at the market. My thoughts are that the 10 year will continue in the relatively modest range until we get to next week when we have the PCE being released–we’ll see which way rates get pushed.




The Fed balance sheet grew by $3 billion last week–a rare increase which will be offset by falls in the weeks ahead no doubt. The chart of the balance sheet levels is an interesting chart–falling back front the highs quite dramatically.

The average $25 preferred and baby bond rose by 7 cents. Investment grade issues moved 15 cents higher with banks up a dime, mREIT issues up 6 cents and shippers continue to hover around the $25 area and down 3 cents.

