I’ve started digging for issues where I believe I can garner at least a 5-6% capital gain and a 6-7% dividend while waiting for a year. The issues that I currently hold have probably maxed out a large share of their capital gains and are limited to the coupon return as we move down the road.
For instance I hold a position in the Affiliated Managers 5.875% subordinated note (MGR) which is trading right at $25/share and I have a 12% capital gain in the position. Obviously my yield on my cost is somewhat higher as I bought some shares at $20.59, but regardless any gains from this point forward are limited to 5.875%. Certainly shares can move higher, but I believe this issue will remain somewhat pinned to $25 as it is a target for being called if interest rates continue to move lower.
I have just bought the Brighthouse Financial 5.375% perpetual preferred (BHFAN) just now at a cost of $20.80/share for a current yield of about 6.5%. I am looking for this issue to move to the $22/share area over the course of the next year–a realistic goal I believe for an issue that is a split investment grade issue (BBB- from S&P).
Note that the Affiliated Managers baby bonds are in my sock drawer–but regardless they could be sold if it moves a bit higher.
The bottom line is that in order to move my returns up I need to add a bit more risk—so I will be looking for issues that I believe give me that 12% (more or less) potential for the next year.